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6. SURFACE
Never back a horse who has not proven himself over course and distance. Although four of the five tracks have a polytrack surface it would be wrong to assume that a horse will be equally at home on any of them. Wolverhampton is tight, Great Leighs has sweeping bends, Lingfield is part down hill with a tight bend and a camber and Kempton is right handed. They are all polytrack, but they are all different.
7. NEVER FOLLOW STABLES, JOCKEYS OR HORSES
We have heard it all before. “The stables on fire they have had six winners all ready this week.” The pundits are full of it, “Success is contagious” and “The stable is full of confidence.” Tosh. The question is who tells the horse. Do they read the Racing Post. A horse is either in form or out of form. Granted an inform horse can throw in a bad race. But regardless of whatever else is going on in a yard, an out of form horse with limited ability will always be just that. Following a stable or horse blind is the road to the poor house. If you have a favourite stable fine. Look for horses in that stable with improving speed figures.
Don’t back every horse they send out just because they have had a few winners. If you like a horse that’s ok as well. But only back it when the ratings show it can win. As for jockeys, they are surpassed only by trainers as the worst tipsters in racing. How many times have you heard, “He’s the best horse I have ever sat on.” Watch any interview with any jockey, when asked for an opinion the reply always starts with, “He’s a nice horse.” Hardly earth shattering information. You can bet your life that if the trainer or jockey knows anything about a horse the last person they will be telling is Joe public. I appreciate that some jockeys are better than others and if you have two horses with similar ratings the jockey can make all the difference. But always remember. ‘The best jockey on the worst horse will always get beat by the worst jockey on the best.’
Don’t back every horse they send out just because they have had a few winners. If you like a horse that’s ok as well. But only back it when the ratings show it can win. As for jockeys, they are surpassed only by trainers as the worst tipsters in racing. How many times have you heard, “He’s the best horse I have ever sat on.” Watch any interview with any jockey, when asked for an opinion the reply always starts with, “He’s a nice horse.” Hardly earth shattering information. You can bet your life that if the trainer or jockey knows anything about a horse the last person they will be telling is Joe public. I appreciate that some jockeys are better than others and if you have two horses with similar ratings the jockey can make all the difference. But always remember. ‘The best jockey on the worst horse will always get beat by the worst jockey on the best.’
8. OPTIONS
Sometimes you will find two stand out horses in a race. If you do and the price is right be prepared to back both horses. If however one horse is a short price (rule 3 less than 3/1) then the other should be backed every time. Alternatively you could put them in a reverse exacta. Finally there is a third simple option which is easier said than done, leave the race alone.
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